International Relations
farideh amani kaekanlo; Reza Simbar
Abstract
Following the September 11 incident, America entered Afghanistan under the title of fighting against terrorism. But after 20 years since the beginning of the attack on this country, by signing an agreement with the Taliban on February 29, 2020, he pledged to leave Afghanistan. On the other hand, due ...
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Following the September 11 incident, America entered Afghanistan under the title of fighting against terrorism. But after 20 years since the beginning of the attack on this country, by signing an agreement with the Taliban on February 29, 2020, he pledged to leave Afghanistan. On the other hand, due to the importance of developments in Afghanistan for Iran, any US action in this country is aimed at Iran's national security. The question of the research is "what consequences have been created for the national security of Iran as a strategic neighbor of Afghanistan with the withdrawal of America from Afghanistan and the re-establishment of the Taliban government"? The hypothesis is: the process the withdrawal of America from Afghanistan on May 1, 2021 is a positive outcome but the challenge of creating an unstable Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban; The clash of different interpretations of Islamic political ideas and the increase in the activity of ethnic and takfiri ideas, insecurity in the eastern regions of the country and the reduction of Iran's national security will remain as a negative consequence. This research is written with a realistic framework, with an explanatory method and based on internet and library sources.
Vahid RanjbarHeydari; Arsalan Ghorbani; Reza Simbar; Ebrahim Hajiani
Abstract
The Persian Gulf is one of the world's premier geographical areas. This region includes the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council countries plus Iran and Iraq. The study seeks to answer the question of which scenarios will be the future of the relationship between Iran and the Cooperation Council at 1404 ...
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The Persian Gulf is one of the world's premier geographical areas. This region includes the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council countries plus Iran and Iraq. The study seeks to answer the question of which scenarios will be the future of the relationship between Iran and the Cooperation Council at 1404 horizons. The present study uses 5methods of futuristic research, namely, cross-impact analysis, 5 key factors; the attitude of the rulers of Iran and the Cooperation Council countries towards each other; increasing the arms and military rivalry of the member states of the Council and Iran with the aim of hegemony in The region, fears of the Shiite Crescent Celestial Theory and the Centenary Revolutionary Guards have been identified with the aim of confronting Iran and identity differences, the future of Syria, Iraq, Yemen on the relationship between Iran and the future of Iran's nuclear program. These proxies were used as the underlying factors in the Scenarios program. Finally, with multiple analyzes, including a panel of experts, out of 128 possible scenarios, 4 possible scenarios were identified: war boats, warships, passenger ships, and shipwreck. Eventually, the scenario of Warship identified as a probable scenario with a high probability of introducing the passenger ship's scenario as a preferred and desirable scenario for Iran.
sajad moradi kelardeh
Abstract
Saudi Arabia's Regional Foreign Policy as an important player in the Middle East and the Arab world is affected by Middle East new changes, especially Iran's presence in Iraq. Most analyses about Saudi Arabia's Foreign Policy toward Iraq were formulated based on realistic approaches and less attention ...
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Saudi Arabia's Regional Foreign Policy as an important player in the Middle East and the Arab world is affected by Middle East new changes, especially Iran's presence in Iraq. Most analyses about Saudi Arabia's Foreign Policy toward Iraq were formulated based on realistic approaches and less attention paid to the role of normative and identity elements. Taking advantage of the analytic method and constructivism theory of Foreign Policy, the present paper tries to answer this question: what is the role of identity elements in Saudi Arabia's foreign policy toward Iraq? The hypothesis of the paper is: the Saudi Arabia's foreign policy in Iraq can be explained based on its identity elements and material and tangible benefit. Findings of the paper illustrate that Saudi Arabia's Foreign Policy in Iraq in local and regional areas, actually composed of identity elements such as Arab identity, Wahhabi Islam, Saudi political system and material elements that has helped in its interventionist approach in order to change current situation and increased instability in Iraq.